June 8, 2008
“We’re literally stuck up a cul-de-sac in a cement SUV without a fill-up.”
– James Howard Kunstler
Global oil peak and the inevitable decline of fossil fuels are upon us now. Are today’s suburbs destined to become the slums of the future? This is a short version of “The End of Suburbia: Oil Depletion and the Collapse of The American Dream,” a documentary about the end of the age of cheap oil.
The complete 78-minute version of The End of Suburbia is available on DVD at www.endofsuburbia.com.
Discussion and debate is welcomed.
June 9, 2008 at 4:47 pm
The vast majority of the housing that is being built in SF is not affordable to the workforce that moved out to the suburbs for whatever reasons. In the Richmond District, where I live, it is common to walk into an Open House and view condos of 1,200 to 1,900 square feet that sell for a minimum of about $800,000. Transportation of children across town to go to school, the solution that the Board of Education has come up with to meet the requirements of court-ordered desegration, is certainly a problem — but it’s just one more on top of an increasingly exclusive housing market. Unless housing is affordable, people cannot move back into the cities.
June 9, 2008 at 1:13 pm
I have chosen to believe that the future is promising, with new industries enabling a comfortable life style with less consumption. We can see even local policies in San Francisco i.e. Plastic Bag ban, Subsidies for Solar Paneling and the Turbines under GG Bridge, are trying to help curb demand on resources (not sure all of these are necessarily economically feasible but is that the point?).
Rising Fuel costs will speed up this innovation and direct people’s choices, towards less driving and locating closer to work and entertainment. House builders and Transportation suppliers will move to meet this growing demand. There is some interesting work done on this by the “Pigou Clubâ€.
We can see in San Francisco and to a lesser extent Oakland downtowns are more popular locations to live than the Suburbs, the hardest test for us now is to balance the demands of the current residence against the demands of new residence. I think Education is in more of a crisis than Housing as we see a two tier system being created. The idea of lottery is like throwing in the towel and admitting that some schools will always be allowed to lag behind others. The school lottery also forces parents to drive across town than to walk the couple of blocks to the closest school.
June 8, 2008 at 6:14 pm
No corporation is more responsible for unplanned suburban sprawl than the Lennar Corporation. And now they’re profiting from commuter crawl and soaring gas-priced flight back into the inner cities.
June 8, 2008 at 5:35 pm
As Marc Salomon always says, cars (especially SUVs since they are large) are the affordable housing of the future;.